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Former US President Donald Trump remains the favorite among members of the Republican Party, despite all the coup rhetoric on January 6th and the criminal cases he faces in the American courts.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll published this Wednesday (19) reveals that among party supporters, 47% support the former president’s candidacy. His main opponent, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, has 19% support among supporters.

The survey surveyed 4,414 adults across the US online. The interviews took place over seven days and ended on Monday (17).

The rest of the potential candidates in the Republican primary trail behind the two favorites, with Vivek Ramaswamy, a former biotech executive, at 9% in the poll, followed by former Vice President Mike Pence, who had 7% support.

The poll reveals an increase in Trump’s voting intentions, since in the June poll the former president had 43%.

Reuters/Ipsos in July revealed an unfavorable scenario for current US President Joe Biden. According to the results, in a hypothetical confrontation between the two candidates, the Democrat would have 35% of the votes while Trump would reach 37%.

The two would therefore technically be tied as the poll has about 2 points in the credibility interval. About 28% of respondents were not sure who to choose or would vote for someone else or no one.

Unpleasant data for the current occupant of the White House, the poll says that among Democrats, 63% agree with the statement that Joe Biden is too old to work in government, while 37% disagree.

Still, at age 80, Biden leads the race among his party’s coreligionists with 63% of support, while Robert F. Kennedy has 15%.

Trump ineligible?

Donald Trump may be considered ineligible if he is held responsible for the attack on the Capitol on January 6, 2021. That’s because the 14th Amendment prohibits anyone who ′′ has engaged in insurrection or rebellion ′′ against the government.

Aside from that, the former president cannot be considered ineligible through the two processes in which he has been indicted since leaving the White House in 2021 The United States federal constitution establishes few criteria for someone to run for the highest office in the country, and criminal convictions is not one of them.

Some American states (the country’s constitution grants legislative autonomy to the states) consider ineligibility and loss of the right to vote in the face of convictions for serious crimes.

The case of the socialist Eugene Debs, who ran for president in 1920 despite being imprisoned, is always remembered as a form of jurisprudence. Trump, if he has the same fate, will be, however, the first politician with real chances of victory to face this situation.


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