Published 05/08/2024 10:32 | Edited 05/08/2024 12:36
Democrat Kamala Harris appears ahead of Republican Donald Trump in voting intentions for the presidency of the United States, according to an analysis carried out using a poll aggregator. The current vice president appears with 50.5% of the preference, 1.4 percentage points ahead of her opponent, who has 48.8%.
The estimate is the result of a statistical model developed by Nate Silver, an American expert in political forecasts, based on information from research already carried out and considering elements such as the reliability of the polls and variables such as registered and likely voters.
According to Silver, “although the race is still uncertain, Harris is ahead of Trump in our national polling average,” the analyst assessed.
Harris improved her performance in eight battleground states — Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, Virginia, New Hampshire and Minnesota — and is ahead in six of them, while Trump only has an advantage in Georgia and Arizona.
Read too: Kamala Harris is the Democrats’ choice to face Trump
The weight that a candidate has in the main states is relevant because the presidential election in the US is done indirectly — the party that wins in each state elects a fixed number of delegates, who will represent the voters when it comes time to vote for president.
Last Friday (2), Kamala Harris obtained the necessary number of delegates to make her candidacy official after current President Joe Biden announced his resignation from the race for re-election at the end of July. She is the first black woman to be chosen as a candidate for the US presidency.
With agencies
(PL)
Source: vermelho.org.br
